Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 10.598005 11.846629 13.195537 14.763050 16.536986 18.485076 20.790326
2025-05-18 8.356406 10.011174 11.938738 14.358221 17.325618 20.861006 25.414115
2025-05-25 6.919698 8.760814 11.039030 14.083521 18.072790 23.159417 30.196029
2025-06-01 5.949752 7.884969 10.402981 13.949770 18.865580 25.509352 35.288972
2025-06-08 5.249300 7.233679 9.929398 13.903582 19.688630 27.918955 40.723434
2025-06-15 4.843725 6.913898 9.838048 14.332030 21.175433 31.385876 48.115663
2025-06-22 4.364925 6.422820 9.429625 14.221494 21.813630 33.628819 53.905548
2025-06-29 3.912592 5.914619 8.929165 13.892116 22.041261 35.217472 58.807895
2025-07-06 3.562047 5.520645 8.553240 13.699560 22.437639 37.084979 64.386291
2025-07-13 3.392069 5.389359 8.569233 14.132252 23.902774 40.891927 73.889546
2025-07-20 3.240848 5.270751 8.588596 14.562950 25.399770 44.916897 84.363213
2025-07-27 3.048776 5.064514 8.438881 14.677415 26.333610 48.018976 93.499903
2025-08-03 2.799333 4.744688 8.076207 14.392981 26.536345 49.848099 100.532676
2025-08-10 2.584249 4.466415 7.761791 14.165867 26.825681 51.892021 108.372968
2025-08-17 2.394711 4.216714 7.475044 13.958989 27.127290 53.995285 116.686432
2025-08-24 2.238175 4.012972 7.252897 13.851086 27.610616 56.527832 126.375880
2025-08-31 2.106099 3.842872 7.077381 13.814749 28.233110 59.429664 137.408597
2025-09-07 2.041813 3.794988 7.129715 14.243999 29.894981 64.830435 155.438287
2025-09-14 1.921383 3.628279 6.934573 14.135670 30.361966 67.580278 167.288860
2025-09-21 1.788330 3.425988 6.651044 13.809019 30.296009 69.069868 176.105588
2025-09-28 1.680908 3.266373 6.440213 13.617935 30.516417 71.266355 187.204316
2025-10-05 1.641613 3.242039 6.506125 14.047883 32.254940 77.446097 210.595697
2025-10-12 1.603732 3.217374 6.568677 14.475794 34.040883 84.003729 236.406282